Monthly Archives: January 2012

Ecological Validity

Term of the day: ecological validity. Ecological validity is a pretty big concern in ed psych, obviously. But I’ve also just read an interesting paper in Health, Risk, and Vulnerability which talks about the ecological validity of psychiatric assessment of criminals being … Continue reading

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Simpson’s Paradox

Example of Simpson’s Paradox from The Numbers behind Numb3rs. In this example„ women are accepted at a higher rate (or roughly equal rate) to all of Berkeley’s programs, but are accepted a a lower rate when those acceptances are combined into university-wide … Continue reading

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A good example of age as confounder

From The Numbers behind Numb3rs: Cobb illustrated the distinction by means of a famous example from the long struggle physicians and scientists had in overcoming the powerful tobacco lobby to convince governments and the public that cigarette smoking causes lung … Continue reading

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Predictive Efficiency

From Farrington & Tarling’s Prediction in Criminology, a new term: predictive efficiency. The way to think about it is this — suppose I say that a college education predicts low incidence of being convicted of a violent crime, and at … Continue reading

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Incidence, Prevalence, and the Obama Job Record

Since the statistics class I teach is supposed to be integrative — that is, to show connections between various disciplines and other aspects of life — I’m always on the lookout for ways to jury-rig an understanding from one domain … Continue reading

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From Swing Voters via ilovecharts This is a great example for students of how longitudinal measurement is sometimes used in polling to understand the effect of a specific event. The post-speech numbers alone tell us a bit about Obama’s popularity, but nothing about … Continue reading

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Diagnostic vs. Spectral Markers. From Principles of Medical Statistics. Diagnostic markers are about whether the disease is present, whereas spectral markers deal with severity and stage.

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‘Adrift’ in Adulthood: Students Who Struggled in College Find Life Harsher After Graduation

‘Adrift’ in Adulthood: Students Who Struggled in College Find Life Harsher After Graduation From the article: Here is what they found: Graduates who scored in the bottom 20 percent on a test of critical thinking fared far more poorly on … Continue reading

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Infant mortality and choice of a base

If I have 10 kids in my class and two failed last year and one failed this year, I can say two equivalent things: 50% less students failed my course this year 10% more of my students passed. The odd … Continue reading

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Tutoring at Scale Sighting

From The Chronicle, Tenured Professor Departs Stanford U., Hoping to Teach 500,000 Students at Online Start-Up: Eventually, the 200 students taking the course in person dwindled to a group of 30. Meanwhile, the course’s popularity exploded online, drawing students from … Continue reading

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